Value Channel
Virtual Event

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1 & 2 April 2026

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Virtual

 

2026 Agenda
Value Channel Event-1280x720

With the middle of the retail market evaporating, winning in 2026 is no longer about broad-based promotions. Instead, it is about mastering the value trifecta: the psychology of bifurcated shoppers, precise pricing, and the nuanced growth of the value channel (dollar stores, discount grocers).

At Kantar’s Value Channel virtual event, get the data-driven road map you need to partner with disruptive retailers and protect your margins now that shoppers define value not as “cheap” but as “essential.”

Key data and facts:

  • The K-shaped spending gap: While the top 10% of earners now account for about 50% of total consumer spending, mainstream SKUs in the middle are declining 5%-7% annually as value variants post double-digit growth.
  • The discount surge: Aldi is now the third-largest grocer in the US by store count. With plans to open more than 180 new stores in 2026, the retailer will operate in 31 states, including new markets like Colorado and Maine.
  • The dollar store moat: Market penetration for dollar stores has reached 89% of US adults. One-third of dollar store shoppers now buy at least half their groceries at these stores.

You’ll leave this event with: 

  • A value playbook: Actionable strategies to differentiate your brand across the distinct business models of Dollar General (rural/consumables) and Dollar Tree (urban/discretionary)
  • Bifurcation blueprint: A deep understanding of “K-shaped” shoppers, including how to capture trade-down shoppers without eroding your premium brand equity
  • The “K-shaped” road map: Insights into where premiumization still works and where affordability is a path to growth so you can rebalance your 2026 innovation pipeline

Conference Agenda

Reach out to events@kantarconsulting.com for questions. 

Simon Johnstone

1:00-1:10 PM ET
Welcome and introduction
Simon Johnstone, Senior Director, Retail Insights

Simon_Johnstone_Square
1:10-1:45 PM ET
The three pillars of value in 2026
Simon Johnstone, Senior Director, Retail Insights

•    Understand winning pricing strategies in the market.
•    Uncover the real size of the prize in the value channel.
•    Map out bifurcated shopper behaviors and attitudes.
Doug.Hermanson.Kantar

1:45-2:30 PM ET
The macro view: Navigating 2026 bifurcation
Doug Hermanson, Principal Economist

•    Map the “K-shaped” recovery and its impact on volumes.
•    Find out why real disposable income is shrinking for the value shopper despite cooling CPI.
•    Explore how 2025-2026 shifts in SNAP benefits and tariffs are reshaping weekly grocery budgets.

2:30-2:45 PM ET
BREAK

Craig_Julie_Kantar-1

2:45-3:30 PM ET
Bifurcated shoppers: Psychological shifts in lower-income tiers
Julie Craig, Vice President, Shopper Insights

•    Review why higher-income shoppers are a key growth segment for value retail.
•    Understand the shift from stock-up to fill-in shopping trips.
•    Discover why price transparency is making brand loyalty more fragile than ever.

Simon Johnstone

3:30-4:15 PM ET
The three C’s of market pricing
Simon Johnstone, Senior Director, Retail Insights

  • Clarity: Understand how eliminating hidden costs, simplifying promotions, and building clarity into everyday low prices can win back shopper trust.
  • Comparison: See how leading retailers like Walmart and Aldi use shelf-edge and digital tools to highlight the value they offer in comparison to their competitors.
  • Customized: Discover how retail media and AI offer more customized “value moments” rather than blanket, margin-eroding discounts.
Simon Johnstone

4:15-4:30 PM ET
Day 1 recap
Simon Johnstone, Senior Director, Retail Insights

Simon Johnstone Square

1:00-1:10 PM ET
Welcome and introduction
Simon Johnstone, Senior Director, Retail Insights

 

Simon_Johnstone_Square

1:10-1:55 PM ET
The rural powerhouse: Dollar General’s 2026 strategy
Simon Johnstone, Senior Director, Retail Insights

  • Analyze Dollar General’s consumables dominance and rural moat.
  • Discover how to leverage the retailer’s more than 20,000 stores for hyperlocal distribution.
  • Explore the most important areas of strategic partnerships with Dollar General.
Simon Johnstone

1:55-2:30 PM ET
The multiprice pivot: The new Dollar Tree
Simon Johnstone, Senior Director, Retail Insights

  • Learn what Dollar Tree’s move beyond its traditional $1.25 ceiling to $3, $5, and $7 tiers means for the retailer’s strategy and suppliers.
  • Understand how Dollar Tree is capturing middle-income trade-down traffic in high-density markets.
  • See how Dollar Tree balances immediate-need household essentials with higher-margin seasonal impulse items.

2:30-2:45 PM ET
BREAK

Simon Johnstone

2.45-3:15 PM ET
The discounter playbook
Simon Johnstone, Senior Director, Retail Insights

  • Examine how private label assortments allow for extreme price leadership and agility.
  • Analyze how expanding retailers like Aldi stand to disrupt traditional midtier grocery.
  • Survey how unique models from retailers like Five Below are disrupting the value channel.
Simon Johnstone

3:15-4:00 PM ET
Partnering for profit: Supplier requirements for value retail
Simon Johnstone, Senior Director, Retail Insights

  • Understand how to design specific SKU sizes to hit critical value price points (e.g., the $5 “hero” item).
  • Gain specific strategies to comply with high-velocity discounters’ strict on-time/in-full requirements.
  • Review why small-box merchandising excellence matters in and out of the channel.
Simon Johnstone

4:15-4:30 PM ET
Day 2 recap
Simon Johnstone, Senior Director, Retail Insights

 
How to attend

Available tickets

 

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meet the experts

Event Speakers

Check back for our speaker updates.

We’re here to amplify your potential. Bringing exceptional experience across industries and organizations. Delivering a deep understanding of retailers and shoppers. We’ll help you meet and exceed your goals.

Simon Johnstone
Simon Johnstone
Senior Director, Retail Insights
Doug.Hermanson.Kantar
Doug Hermanson
Principal Economist
Craig_Julie_Kantar-1
Julie Craig
Vice President, Shopper Insights
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